THE PROBLEM WITH “SMART MONEY”

I am tired of financial "gurus" and larps.

You know the type. They tweet about a stock or coin after it’s up 40%. They delete their calls when they’re wrong. They sell courses on "guaranteed alpha" while making their real money from subscriptions and copy traders, not the market.

The financial internet is drowning in advice, but it is starving for truth.

That is why I am starting Mostly Risk On.

This is not a tip sheet. I don’t have a course. This is a public journal of a private investor (me) trying to navigate the messiest, most volatile, and most exciting market cycle in history.

What is Mostly Risk On?

The name is the strategy.

"Risk On" because I am not here to preserve wealth; I am here to build it. I believe we are in a technological supercycle (AI, Crypto, Energy, Robots etc.) that offers asymmetric upside for those willing to stomach the volatility. I am looking for the 10x, not the 10%.

"Mostly" because I am a real person. I have bills. I have a mortgage. I cannot afford to blow up my account on a 0 DTE option contract. I will hedge. I will hold cash. I will make "boring" decisions when the market looks frothy.

I am not an institution. I don't have a quant or a compliance department. I have a laptop, a brokerage account/crypto wallet, and a high tolerance for risk.

PAYING MY TUITION

I taught myself investing the hard way: by losing money.

Fresh out of college, I thought I was a genius and treated the market like an off-shore casino. The market humbled me when I decided to fade $AMZN ( ▲ 0.45% ) on their earnings beat. I blew up my account trading options.

In 2021, I got into crypto and rode the NFT cycle. I made mid-five figures flipping JPEGs, felt like a god, and then gave it all back (and then some) when the liquidity dried up.

From late 2023 to 2025, things finally clicked. I kept gambling but started to be smarter about it, researching and putting myself in positions to find money. I went back to crypto during the holidays of 2023 to try and catch another NFT wave, but ended up being early to the crypto bull run, and the start of the meme coin ‘trenches’. I ran up four-figures to high six-figures trading memes and alts within 14 months.

Then came "Liberation Day" this past April. When the tariffs hit and the market melted down, everyone panicked. I didn't. I stepped in, and made outsized bets on leading stocks while the streets were running red. Here are some of my current tradfi holdings.

Ticker

Price

% Gain

$1,120

84%

$189

103%

$440

96%

$277

64%

WHO CARES

Probably no-one.

But I spend hours each week watching the 3-hour podcasts, reading the 50-page whitepapers, and testing the newest AI tools. Until now these stay with me or get sent around to the few friends who can keep up with how fast markets and technology have been moving lately.

This newsletter is my research journal. I’ll send out updates every Monday. I’m not here to tell you what to buy. I’m here to show you what I am buying, what I am watching, and why.

If I'm right, you'll see the logic unfold in real-time. If I'm wrong, you'll see me learn from it (and hopefully, you'll save your own capital in the process).

Welcome to the supercycle.

-Risk

Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. I am a retail investor sharing my personal research and trades for educational and entertainment purposes only. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Do your own due diligence.

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